The NCAA Tournament’s Most Likely Upsets: Xavier and Maryland

March 17, 2015 11:18 PM

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The NCAA Tournament’s Most Likely Upsets: Xavier and Maryland

Filling out an NCAA tournament bracket and not calling any upsets is like dining at a steakhouse and ordering the dandelion salad. But anyone can pick upsets—the problem is pegging the right upsets. That’s why we’re here to help.

This is the fifth straight year that The Count has published upset predictions from a statistical regression by John Ezekowitz. It is based on the results of round-of-64 games between 2004 and 2014. The model isn’t meant to find every upset but rather the most likely upsets. It was correct on eight ...

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