Box Office: Can 'Avengers: Age Of Ultron' Break 'Avengers' Opening Weekend Record?

March 23, 2015 1:19 PM

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Today is March 23rd, which means we are one month out from the UK theatrical release of Walt Disney’s Avengers: Age of Ultron. So with that in mind, I wanted to play some “fun with math” in terms of its potential domestic (US) opening weekend. Yes, I probably should have waited until April 1st, since the film opens on May 1st in America, but I have some other stuff possibly set for April 1st, and I wanted to get this out before Walt Disney released any official tracking. I hope you can forgive me. Also forgive me as the film actually opens first on April 22nd in France, but I wanted to save this for Monday morning. Anyway, the debut of Avengers: Age of Ultron presents a somewhat unique situation, in that it is the sequel to an “original” that absolutely clobbered the opening weekend record and opened and what could be considered peak performance potential. As you all presumably know, The Avengers opened in early May of 2012 with a $207 million debut weekend. So what lies in store for Avengers 2? Well, to foretell the future, we must go into the past. This will be part speculative mathematical guesstimation and part box office history lesson. And with that said, and with apologies for the somewhat click bait-y headline, let’s dive in….

Let’s start with Batman, because everything starts with Batman when it comes to modern short term box office records. Actually, wait, let’s start with Star Trek. Star Trek: The Motion Picture opened with $11.9m in 1979, while Star Trek: The Wrath of Khan debuted with $14.3m in 1982, a 20% uptick tha...

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